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Recent Posts

Featured Video

Marine fighter jet lands safely after crashing in mid-air with another plane in Southern California

septembre 30, 2020

Marine fighter jet lands safely after crashing in mid-air with another plane in Southern CaliforniaJet makes emergency landing in farm field after colliding with another plane




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Florida martial arts school billed taxpayers over $350,000 for ‘ghost’ kids, state says

septembre 30, 2020

Florida martial arts school billed taxpayers over $350,000 for ‘ghost’ kids, state saysFunded by public grants, the United Martial Arts Academy in Homestead offered an array of self-defense training, including the “Tiny Tigers” and “Little Dragon” courses for kids.




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Biden Staffer Suggests ‘Intolerant’ Views of Orthodox Catholics, Jews, Muslims Should Disqualify Them from Supreme Court

septembre 30, 2020

Biden Staffer Suggests ‘Intolerant’ Views of Orthodox Catholics, Jews, Muslims Should Disqualify Them from Supreme CourtA staffer on Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s campaign on Monday suggested that Orthodox Catholics, Jews and Muslims should not be allowed to serve on the Supreme Court because of their “intolerant” beliefs.The comments came during a Twitter conversation between Biden campaign deputy data director Nikitha Rai and Brookings Institute senior fellow Shadi Hamid in which Rai attacked Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett’s Catholic beliefs. A search for Rai's Twitter account now yields a message saying, "This account doesn't exist."Hamid had responded to a tweet that said Barrett was a trustee at a Catholic school that opposed same-sex marriage as homosexual acts are "at odds with Scripture." Hamid replied, “Wait, why is this news? Isn’t this the standard position for any orthodox Catholic?” “Unfortunately yes,” Rai said. When Hamid pointed out that Orthodox Muslims and Jews generally hold the same view, Rai said, “True. I’d heavily prefer views like that not be elevated to SCOTUS, but unfortunately our current culture is relatively intolerant. It will be awhile before those types of beliefs are so taboo that they’re disqualifiers.”> Here’s a @JoeBiden staffer saying that orthodox Christianity, Islam, and Judaism should be made “taboo” and driven from the public sphere. Beneath all the talk of “interfaith” and “pluralism,” this is what they really believe. pic.twitter.com/PrN8S1qaLG> > -- Jeremy McLellan (@JeremyMcLellan) September 29, 2020The former vice president often touts his Catholic faith on the campaign trail, though critics note that some of Biden’s positions — such as his support for abortion and same-sex marriage — stand in opposition to Catholic teachings.Barrett’s faith has been widely scrutinized in the media as “extreme” and cult-like since the president announced he would nominate the 48-year-old Notre Dame professor to fill the vacancy on the Court left by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.Barrett, a former clerk for the late Justice Antonin Scalia, has been attacked for her faith for years now, beginning with her 2017 confirmation hearings before the Senate Judiciary Committee when Democrats questioned whether her Catholicism should disqualify her from being a judge.“Why is it that so many of us on this side have this very uncomfortable feeling that dogma and law are two different things, and I think whatever a religion is, it has its own dogma. The law is totally different,” Senator Dianne Feinstein (D., Calif.) said at the time.“The conclusion one draws is that the dogma lives loudly within you,” Feinstein added. “And that’s of concern.”




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LA police 'ambush': Deonte Lee Murray charged with attempted murder

septembre 30, 2020

LA police 'ambush': Deonte Lee Murray charged with attempted murderDeonte Lee Murray is accused of shooting two officers in their car, an attack that was caught on video.




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A creepy presidential debate ad shows a deepfake of Putin telling Americans they're ruining their own democracy

septembre 30, 2020

A creepy presidential debate ad shows a deepfake of Putin telling Americans they're ruining their own democracyIn an ad campaign from non-profit RepresentUs, deepfakes of Kim Jong-un and Vladimir Putin warn Americans that they're ruining their own democracy.




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South Carolina city apologizes to Black residents for racial injustice resulting from its policies

septembre 30, 2020

South Carolina city apologizes to Black residents for racial injustice resulting from its policiesThe Spartanburg city council unanimously approved a resolution that acknowledges systematic racism.




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Top US infectious-disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci calls some of Fox News' primetime coverage of the coronavirus pandemic 'outlandish'

septembre 30, 2020

Top US infectious-disease expert Dr. Anthony Fauci calls some of Fox News' primetime coverage of the coronavirus pandemic 'outlandish'Fauci said that with some reporters, "anything that I would say they'll distort a bit," adding, "I'm not sure there's anything I can do about that."




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Democrats introduce new $2.2 trillion coronavirus relief bill

septembre 30, 2020

Democrats introduce new $2.2 trillion coronavirus relief billThe bill, which is unlikely to pass the GOP-led Senate, is an updated version of earlier legislation. House Democrats introduced a new $2.2 trillion COVID-19 relief bill aimed at breaking the impasse with Republicans on how to get financial assistance to Americans before the November election. The package, which is unlikely to pass the Republican-led Senate, is an updated version of earlier legislation.




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'Women in military, bad idea': Mike Pence’s most controversial comments about women

septembre 30, 2020

'Women in military, bad idea': Mike Pence’s most controversial comments about womenMr Pence has a long history of making eyebrow-raising comments about women




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The Proud Boys, Who Trade in Political Violence, Get a Boost From Trump

septembre 30, 2020

By BY NEIL MACFARQUHAR, ALAN FEUER, MIKE BAKER AND SHEERA FRENKEL from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/30nxtKP

A major Boston hospital has a cluster of cases among its staff and patients.

septembre 30, 2020

By BY GIULIA MCDONNELL NIETO DEL RIO from NYT World https://ift.tt/2HMcPh5

Trump Renews Fears of Voter Intimidation as G.O.P. Poll Watchers Mobilize

septembre 30, 2020

By BY DANNY HAKIM, STEPHANIE SAUL, NICK CORASANITI AND MICHAEL WINES from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/2Sc4nJI

Hopeful Day in Queens: A Slice of Pizza, Served Indoors

septembre 30, 2020

By BY MATTHEW HAAG from NYT New York https://ift.tt/3ihxplS

Pennsylvania’s top election official casts doubt on fraud claims in Luzerne County.

septembre 30, 2020

By BY NICK CORASANITI from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/2SeAx7K

Republicans Scold Trump on White Supremacy, Fearing a Drag on the Party

septembre 30, 2020

By BY ALEXANDER BURNS, JONATHAN MARTIN AND MAGGIE HABERMAN from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/33ffFU4

Coronavirus

septembre 30, 2020

By Unknown Author from NYT World https://ift.tt/2Sda5Lt

Rebuffed by Vatican, Pompeo Assails China and Aligns With Pope’s Critics

septembre 30, 2020

By BY JASON HOROWITZ AND LARA JAKES from NYT World https://ift.tt/3l1QP02

U.S. Repatriates Last of Islamic State Suspects Believed Captured in Syria

septembre 30, 2020

By BY KATIE BENNER from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/3cPgmqb

M.L.B. Will Allow Fans at World Series and N.L. Championship Series

septembre 30, 2020

By BY TYLER KEPNER from NYT Sports https://ift.tt/3cMwKI6

Movie theaters say they can’t survive without aid from Congress.

septembre 30, 2020

By BY BROOKS BARNES from NYT Business https://ift.tt/36iZAyA

Now at the Boarding Gate: Coronavirus Tests

septembre 30, 2020

By BY TARIRO MZEZEWA from NYT Travel https://ift.tt/3jiab0d

Paris Chef Commits Suicide After Assault Allegations, Family Says

septembre 30, 2020

By BY NORIMITSU ONISHI from NYT World https://ift.tt/3l2Qieg

Study Finds ‘Single Largest Driver’ of Coronavirus Misinformation: Trump

septembre 30, 2020

By BY SHERYL GAY STOLBERG AND NOAH WEILAND from NYT U.S. https://ift.tt/34jHpX4

Universal Credit: Plea not to axe £20 a week ‘lifeline’

septembre 29, 2020
The Joseph Rowntree Foundation calls on the chancellor to extend an increase to Universal Credit.

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Egg freezing 10-year limit should be scrapped, says ethics body

septembre 29, 2020
UK ethics body says it would give women worried about declining fertility more time and options.

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Black History Month: Postboxes painted to honour black Britons

septembre 29, 2020
Sir Lenny Henry is among a variety of figures to feature on the postboxes in Black History Month.

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Great Barrier Reef: Uncovering the secrets of Australia's deep waters

septembre 29, 2020
Scientists explain how the biggest deep-sea study of two marine parks led to exciting discoveries.

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Female Koran reciters 'part of Islamic legacy'

septembre 29, 2020
How female Muslim Koran reciters are making their voices heard.

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Hydrogen-powered train makes UK maiden journey

septembre 29, 2020
The Hydroflex made a 25-mile round-trip in Warwickshire, reaching speeds of up to 50 mph.

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Coronavirus: What is the R number and why does it matter?

septembre 29, 2020
Experts keep discussing the value of R, but what is it and why does it matter?

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'The new Covid support for business is nuts'

septembre 29, 2020
Dejection over latest government help for business has left many small firms fearing for their futures.

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Russian cleaner sweeps to power in surprise village vote

septembre 29, 2020
'Flabbergasted' Marina Udgodskaya only entered the race as her boss needed someone else to stand.

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Veteran GOP strategist predicts Trump's debate performance will suffer thanks to tax bombshell

septembre 29, 2020

Veteran GOP strategist predicts Trump's debate performance will suffer thanks to tax bombshellGOP political consultant Mike Murphy predicts President Trump will be distracted at tonight's debate as a result of reports on his taxes.




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White nationalist from Charlottesville rally nicknamed ‘Crying Nazi’ is charged with threatening to rape a woman

septembre 29, 2020

White nationalist from Charlottesville rally nicknamed ‘Crying Nazi’ is charged with threatening to rape a womanChristopher Cantwell sent a series of threatening text messages in bid to uncover information about leader of a far-right group




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State of emergency in 3 California counties as fire scorches wine country

septembre 29, 2020

State of emergency in 3 California counties as fire scorches wine countryLarge pieces of ash rained down on Napa Valley early Tuesday and a bright orange glow was visible in the hills above the city.




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Why a Biden blowout is still the most likely result

septembre 29, 2020

Why a Biden blowout is still the most likely resultFive weeks out from the 2020 presidential election, significant media attention is being given to the small possibility that President Donald Trump could again pull off a narrow Electoral College victory while losing the popular vote, or that even an Electoral College tie could push the election to the House. Those scenarios, though, are mainly making headlines because they're interesting fodder for the pundit class. All the data point to a big blowout victory for Democratic nominee Joe Biden.The major recent polls (Economist/YouGov: Biden +7, CNBC: Biden +9, Quinnipiac: Biden +10, NYT: Biden +8) show Biden with a truly commanding lead nationally. Equally important is how Biden leads. The 2016 election was always a much closer and more dynamic race, Trump was facing a much more unpopular opponent, and a much larger number of voters were undecided. None of those are the case this time.This year we have experienced a global pandemic which has so far killed over 200,000 Americans, a massive economic disruption, multiple Trump administration scandals, and the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Yet Biden's large lead over Trump is basically identical to what it was at the end of last year. There is still the possibility that some new development — even bigger than those listed above — could shift the dynamics of the race, but that seems very unlikely.Biden also polls much better than Hillary Clinton ever did in the late stages of the 2016 election cycle — largely because there are significantly fewer undecided and third-party voters. In the RealClearPolitics polling average of the four-way race, Clinton's share of the vote never went over 46.2 percent while, by comparison, Biden has been bouncing right around 50 percent for the past few months with 7 percent third-party/undecided. To realistically win, Trump would need to pick up almost all the undecided voters and even flip some Biden voters.In 2016, both candidates were unpopular. The final YouGov poll found Clinton with a favorable rating of 43 percent and 56 percent unfavorable, compared to Trump's rating of 39 percent favorable and 60 percent unfavorable. This gave the outsider Trump a chance to win over voters who disliked both candidates. By comparison, right now Biden's favorability numbers are 45 percent to 47 percent compared to Trump at 42 percent favorable and 53 unfavorable. In addition, 52 percent of voters disapprove of how Trump has handled his job as president, while 57 percent of voters are upset or dissatisfied with Trump. Trump effectively needs to win over voters who dislike him, disapprove of his job performance, and are simply ambivalent about Biden.To be sure, in 2016, the very limited polling in certain critical swing states was off in important ways, and the final national polling undercounted Trump's support by roughly 1-2 points. Maybe there is another systematic undercounting of Trump's support in the polling this year, and maybe late-breaking events move voters towards him, and maybe a large share of voters who disapprove of Trump's job performance can be persuaded to vote against Biden — but that is a lot of maybes.It is just as likely that Biden will outperform his already big lead. Elections tend to be referendums on incumbents, which is particularly true this year. Trump's polling numbers in head-to-head matchups with Biden have closely mirrored his overall job approval numbers. At the same time, Trump's job approval has been stuck in the low 40s effectively his entire time in office. Almost unique among modern presidents, he has never appealed to the majority of the country and has basically never tried. There really is no precedent for a chronically unpopular president who never tried to reach out beyond his base.If the final election results follow this job approval pattern, Biden wins in a landslide even larger than his current polling lead. Winning by such a large margin would swamp Trump's modest advantage in the Electoral College.More stories from theweek.com Trump's ear piece conspiracy is a perennial rehash 'Sully' Sullenberger savages Trump's 'lethal lies and incompetence' in new Lincoln Project ad Let's be real: Biden is cruising to victory




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Explainer: Who's fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh, and why does it matter?

septembre 29, 2020

Explainer: Who's fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh, and why does it matter?WHERE AND WHAT IS NAGORNO-KARABAKH? It's a mountainous, forested patch of land that sits inside the territory of ex-Soviet Azerbaijan and is recognised under international law as part of that country. Nagorno-Karabakh survives almost totally on budget support from Armenia and donations from the worldwide Armenian diaspora.




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EPA ridicules California's proposed ban of new gas cars

septembre 29, 2020


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John Oliver concedes sad defeat on the Supreme Court, urges Democrats to go big to save U.S. democracy

septembre 29, 2020

John Oliver concedes sad defeat on the Supreme Court, urges Democrats to go big to save U.S. democracyMaybe there's some irony in a British immigrant preaching pro-democracy revolution in America, but these are strange times. The death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, John Oliver said on Sunday's Last Week Tonight, "was distressing enough" before President Trump rushed to fill the Supreme Court seat vacated by "a liberal icon with an extremely conservative justice who's being called 'the female Antonin Scalia,'" Amy Coney Barrett, 48."Look, this has been a very dark week for a lot of people," Oliver said. "The Supreme Court is about to lurch to the right for the foreseeable future. And if things seem hopeless right now, it's because -- to be completely honest -- they basically are.""The fact is, when Barrett is confirmed, a president who lost the popular vote will have picked a quarter of the federal judiciary and a third of the Supreme Court, and his choices will have been rubber-stamped by a Senate Republican majority representing 15 million fewer people than the Democratic minority," Oliver said. "And if that sounds absurd to you, it's because it clearly is, especially when those courts have allowed Republicans to set wildly unpopular policy that wouldn't actually pass muster with voters." So what can be done?If the Democrats manage to win the White House and Congress, they need to go "bold" and enact "significant structural change," Oliver said. That's risky -- "expanding the court is a bit like doing yoga naked -- one way to dampen your enthusiasm for the idea is to picture Donald Trump doing it, too," he said -- but "it is past time for big change." Eliminating the Electoral College and granting statehood to Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico, he argued, "would actually make our system more democratic.""The unavoidable truth here is that the system is already rigged, and its rigged in a way that has allowed a party without popular support to drastically reshape an entire branch of government for the foreseeable future by appealing almost exclusively to white voters in some of the least populous regions of the country," Oliver said. "That is not a mandate, and it's not democracy, it's a f---ing travesty. We're at the end of a generational battle, and the heartbreaking thing is, we lost.""But the next battle has to start right now," he said, and "we must be willing to fight tirelessly and with every tool and tactic at our disposal." Watch below. More stories from theweek.com Trump literally can't afford to lose the election Trump avoids tax return questions as he brings yet another truck to the White House The bigger truth revealed by Trump's taxes




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Fact check: False claim that Biden and Harris said the other 'wasn't fit to run the country'

septembre 29, 2020

Fact check: False claim that Biden and Harris said the other 'wasn't fit to run the country'A post claims that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris questioned each other's fitness to be president during the Democratic debates. They did not.




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We want our shark tooth back, Malta tells Prince George

septembre 29, 2020

We want our shark tooth back, Malta tells Prince GeorgeIt was the sort of kind, grandfatherly gesture that brings a bit of light and joy to these dark, worrying times. When David Attenborough gave an ancient shark’s tooth to Prince George at the weekend, the little boy’s face lit up with delight. The seven-year-old was thrilled to be told the tooth once belonged to a megalodon, an extinct species of giant shark that could grow to a length of more than 50ft. He was given the tooth when Sir David attended a private viewing of his latest documentary, A Life On Our Planet, with members of the royal family. As any parent knows, tantrums and tears await anyone who has the temerity to try to take back such a precious gift. But that’s exactly what Malta apparently plans to do.




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Democrats introduce new $2.2 trillion coronavirus relief bill

septembre 29, 2020

Democrats introduce new $2.2 trillion coronavirus relief billThe bill, which is unlikely to pass the GOP-led Senate, is an updated version of earlier legislation. House Democrats introduced a new $2.2 trillion COVID-19 relief bill aimed at breaking the impasse with Republicans on how to get financial assistance to Americans before the November election. The package, which is unlikely to pass the Republican-led Senate, is an updated version of earlier legislation.




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With EU help, Taiwan gets rare win in China naming dispute

septembre 29, 2020

With EU help, Taiwan gets rare win in China naming disputeTaiwan said on Monday the European Union had stepped in to help after a global alliance of mayors stopped referring to Taiwanese cities as part of China, in a rare win for the island amid growing Chinese pressure. China has ramped up efforts to get international groups and companies to refer on their websites and in official documents to democratic, self-ruled Taiwan as being part of China, to the ire of Taiwan's government and many of its people. Over the weekend, Taiwan officials expressed anger after the Brussels-based Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy began listing on its website its six Taiwan member cites as belonging to China.




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Trump avoids tax return questions as he brings yet another truck to the White House

septembre 29, 2020

Trump avoids tax return questions as he brings yet another truck to the White HousePresident Trump ignored every pressing topic Monday as he welcomed one of his favorite things to the White House.The New York Times dropped a bombshell report Sunday evening revealing Trump leveraged business losses to avoid paying taxes for years, as well as using other dubious financial strategies to lower his tax bills. Trump denied the report in a Sunday press conference, and on Monday, avoided questions about his tax returns altogether as he praised an electric pick-up truck.The White House unexpectedly called reporters to the South Lawn on Monday, where they found Trump inspecting a Lordstown Motors 2021 electric pick-up truck. "We've all done a good job," Trump said after praising the truck's manufacturers, and then, out of nowhere, said "it's hotter now than it was before, and that's something really different." But before he could get too close to acknowledging fossil fuels' role in warming the Earth, he pivoted to call the truck "an incredible piece of science" and implied electrification is sure to "happen with more and more trucks and cars." He then walked away to reporters shouting "can you say anything about the tax returns?" and "when are you going to release them?"> MOMENTS AGO: President Trump leaves truck event, not answering as reporter yells: "Can you say anything about the TAX RETURNS, Mr. President? When are you going to RELEASE THEM?" pic.twitter.com/b1ZNJ5rLRa> > — The Hill (@thehill) September 28, 2020It's far from the first time Trump has brought trucks to the White House, though they're usually a bit bigger than this one. And as The Washington Post has reported, it's something his advisers will do to cheer the president up when he's "inconsolable."More stories from theweek.com 'Sully' Sullenberger savages Trump's 'lethal lies and incompetence' in new Lincoln Project ad Joe Biden releases 2019 tax returns in 'pre-debate move' amid Trump revelations Trump literally can't afford to lose the election




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'He has dementia': Rudy Guiliani makes unfounded claims about Biden during rambling Fox News interview

septembre 29, 2020

'He has dementia': Rudy Guiliani makes unfounded claims about Biden during rambling Fox News interviewThe president’s lawyer left Fox News hosts looking uncomfortable as he ramped up his fake conspiracies against Joe Biden




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A 3-Michelin star restaurant in Napa has burned down in California's latest wildfire

septembre 29, 2020

A 3-Michelin star restaurant in Napa has burned down in California's latest wildfireThe Restaurant at Meadowood was engulfed by Napa Valley's Glass Fire on Monday morning and couldn't be saved.




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Dr. Fauci warns the US is ‘not in a good place’ on Covid-19 as cases rise in parts of the country

septembre 28, 2020

Dr. Fauci warns the US is ‘not in a good place’ on Covid-19 as cases rise in parts of the country'Now's the time actually to double down a bit,' nation’s leading infectious disease expert warns in new interview




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Positive COVID-19 test rates top 25% in some U.S. Midwest states

septembre 28, 2020

Positive COVID-19 test rates top 25% in some U.S. Midwest statesThe positivity rate has risen to 26% in South Dakota, up from 17% the previous week, according to the analysis using testing data from The COVID Tracking Project. The World Health Organization considers rates above 5% concerning because it suggests there are more cases in the community that have not yet been uncovered. Several states such as New York, Massachusetts, Vermont and Maine have positive test rates of less than 1%.




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Brain-eating microbe: US city warned over water supply

septembre 28, 2020

Brain-eating microbe: US city warned over water supplyPeople in Lake Jackson, Texas, are urged to take precautionary measures amid contamination concerns.




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South Carolina TV anchor hit man with beer bottle in fight over politics, police say

septembre 28, 2020

South Carolina TV anchor hit man with beer bottle in fight over politics, police sayThe victim was left with cuts on his face, police said.




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Wine country wildfire forces hundreds of evacuations

septembre 28, 2020

Wine country wildfire forces hundreds of evacuationsA wind-driven wildfire erupted on Sunday in the heart of Northern California's Napa Valley wine country and spread across nearly 2,000 acres, forcing the evacuation of a hospital and hundreds of homes, authorities said.




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Exclusive: As States Prepared Mail-in Ballots, Postal Service Failed to Update at Least 1.8 Million Addresses

septembre 28, 2020

Exclusive: As States Prepared Mail-in Ballots, Postal Service Failed to Update at Least 1.8 Million AddressesAs states prepared to send out tens of millions of ballots, the U.S. Postal Service inexplicably stopped fully updating its database, leading to a failure of registering at least 1.8 million addresses




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Remains of 117 Chinese soldiers killed in Korean War returned

septembre 28, 2020

Remains of 117 Chinese soldiers killed in Korean War returnedThe remains of 117 Chinese soldiers who died in the 1950-53 Korean War were returned to China on Sunday in an annual repatriation delayed this year by the coronavirus outbreak. South Korea handed over the remains at a ceremony at Incheon airport outside Seoul, and a Chinese military transport plane flew them to Shenyang, a northeastern Chinese city near the North Korean border. Chinese soldiers fought on the North Korean side against US-led forces in the South during the war on the Korean Peninsula. Most of the 117 remains were found in the Demilitarized Zone that separates North and South Korea. It was the seventh annual repatriation, and the largest since the 437 returned in the first one in 2014. In all, the remains of 716 Chinese soldiers have been sent back. This year's return, originally planned for the spring, was postponed for several months because of the spread of Covid-19.




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Missouri man faces prison for assault after police officer broke hand punching him

septembre 28, 2020

Missouri man faces prison for assault after police officer broke hand punching himOfficer injured in fight to arrest suspect after speeding stop




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Former paramilitary leader deported to Colombia

septembre 28, 2020

Former paramilitary leader deported to Colombia




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How to watch the first presidential debate between Trump and Biden

septembre 28, 2020

How to watch the first presidential debate between Trump and BidenThe debate will be moderated by "Fox News Sunday" anchor Chris Wallace.




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Meng Wanzhou: The PowerPoint that sparked an international row

septembre 28, 2020

Meng Wanzhou: The PowerPoint that sparked an international rowThe top Huawei executive's closely watched extradition case returns to court on Monday.




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Why a Biden blowout is still the most likely result

septembre 28, 2020

Why a Biden blowout is still the most likely resultFive weeks out from the 2020 presidential election, significant media attention is being given to the small possibility that President Donald Trump could again pull off a narrow Electoral College victory while losing the popular vote, or that even an Electoral College tie could push the election to the House. Those scenarios, though, are mainly making headlines because they're interesting fodder for the pundit class. All the data point to a big blowout victory for Democratic nominee Joe Biden.The major recent polls (Economist/YouGov: Biden +7, CNBC: Biden +9, Quinnipiac: Biden +10, NYT: Biden +8) show Biden with a truly commanding lead nationally. Equally important is how Biden leads. The 2016 election was always a much closer and more dynamic race, Trump was facing a much more unpopular opponent, and a much larger number of voters were undecided. None of those are the case this time.This year we have experienced a global pandemic which has so far killed over 200,000 Americans, a massive economic disruption, multiple Trump administration scandals, and the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Yet Biden's large lead over Trump is basically identical to what it was at the end of last year. There is still the possibility that some new development — even bigger than those listed above — could shift the dynamics of the race, but that seems very unlikely.Biden also polls much better than Hillary Clinton ever did in the late stages of the 2016 election cycle — largely because there are significantly fewer undecided and third-party voters. In the RealClearPolitics polling average of the four-way race, Clinton's share of the vote never went over 46.2 percent while, by comparison, Biden has been bouncing right around 50 percent for the past few months with 7 percent third-party/undecided. To realistically win, Trump would need to pick up almost all the undecided voters and even flip some Biden voters.In 2016, both candidates were unpopular. The final YouGov poll found Clinton with a favorable rating of 43 percent and 56 percent unfavorable, compared to Trump's rating of 39 percent favorable and 60 percent unfavorable. This gave the outsider Trump a chance to win over voters who disliked both candidates. By comparison, right now Biden's favorability numbers are 45 percent to 47 percent compared to Trump at 42 percent favorable and 53 unfavorable. In addition, 52 percent of voters disapprove of how Trump has handled his job as president, while 57 percent of voters are upset or dissatisfied with Trump. Trump effectively needs to win over voters who dislike him, disapprove of his job performance, and are simply ambivalent about Biden.To be sure, in 2016, the very limited polling in certain critical swing states was off in important ways, and the final national polling undercounted Trump's support by roughly 1-2 points. Maybe there is another systematic undercounting of Trump's support in the polling this year, and maybe late-breaking events move voters towards him, and maybe a large share of voters who disapprove of Trump's job performance can be persuaded to vote against Biden — but that is a lot of maybes.It is just as likely that Biden will outperform his already big lead. Elections tend to be referendums on incumbents, which is particularly true this year. Trump's polling numbers in head-to-head matchups with Biden have closely mirrored his overall job approval numbers. At the same time, Trump's job approval has been stuck in the low 40s effectively his entire time in office. Almost unique among modern presidents, he has never appealed to the majority of the country and has basically never tried. There really is no precedent for a chronically unpopular president who never tried to reach out beyond his base.If the final election results follow this job approval pattern, Biden wins in a landslide even larger than his current polling lead. Winning by such a large margin would swamp Trump's modest advantage in the Electoral College.More stories from theweek.com Trump literally can't afford to lose the election Trump avoids tax return questions as he brings yet another truck to the White House The bigger truth revealed by Trump's taxes




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